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10  Summer 2020 European Energy Innovation

    COVID-19'S IMPACT ON THE ENERGY SECTOR

Covid-19’s impact on the
energy sector

By Ms Mechthild Wörsdörfer (pictured), Director of Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks –
International Energy Agency
                             The coronavirus (Covid-19)
                                         has created the biggest        gas, which see steep falls.
                                         global crisis in generations,
                                         sending shock waves            To avoid a big rebound, we need
                                                                        sustainable recovery plans based on

                             through health systems, economies,         smart energy policies. In this context,

                             and societies around the world.            the EU’s Covid-19 recovery package

                             Faced with an unprecedented                and Multiannual Financial Framework

                             situation, governments are focused         (MFF) will be important as well as

                             on bringing the disease under control continued commitment from the EU

                             and reviving their economies.              to the European Green Deal - as a

                                                                        growth strategy and to ensure a just

                             The energy sector is also severely         transition towards a climate neutral

                             affected by this crisis, which             Europe by 2050.

                             has slowed transport, trade and

                             economic activity across the globe.        Near-term opportunities for jobs
                             The IEA’s analysis, published in our       and cutting emissions
                             Global Energy Review 2020, shows           In March, the IEA’s Executive Director

                             that global energy demand declined         Dr. Fatih Birol was the first leader of

                             by 3.8% in the first quarter of 2020       an international organisation to make

                             and that months-long restrictions          a call to governments to put clean

                             on economic activity could lead to         energy at the heart of economic

                             a drop in energy demand by 6% by           recovery. Numerous IEA events have

                             the end of the year. This is the largest been held since to examine Covid-19

                             drop in 70 years and seven times           implications across the energy sector,

                             greater than the 2009 financial crisis. including Ministerial Roundtables on

                             The story is similar for global CO2        clean energy in economic recovery,
                             emissions projections as we expect         mobilising investment in sustainable

                             a decline of nearly 8% in 2020, where and resilient electricity systems,

                             Europe might see the lowest levels         impacts on Africa’s energy sector as

                             since the late 1950s.                      well as our annual Global Conference

                                                                        on Energy Efficiency. These events

                             Global energy investments are              will culminate in the IEA’s Clean

                             also severely affected by the crisis.      Energy Transitions Summit on 9

                             As shown by our World Energy               July 2020, which will gather a grand

                             Investment report released end May, coalition of leaders representing the

                             a fall in businesses’ capital spending     global energy community to explore

                             of US$400 billion – one fifth of 2019      pathways to a sustainable recovery,

                             levels – could be expected in 2020.        on the way to COP26.

                             Investment activities have been

                             disrupted by lockdowns but also by         As a basis for this discussion, we will

                             a sharp fall in revenues, especially       release the World Energy Outlook

                             for the oil and gas sector. Europe’s       Sustainable Recovery report this

                             estimated decline is around -17%,          June. The report will provide input on

                             with investments in electricity grids,     how governments most effectively

                             wind and efficiency holding up better can use economic recovery to boost

                             than distributed solar PV and oil and jobs while advancing clean energy

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